About the projections
Every five years the Department of Treasury and Finance prepares official population projections for Tasmania and each of its local government areas. The projections indicate what Tasmania's future population would look like if certain trends were to hold true. They also provide an indication of how the population might be distributed among different regions of the state, and among different age groups for males and females.
The 2024 Population Projections were released on 17 May 2024. Further and detailed information about the projections is available in the 2024 Population Projections final report.
A quick guide is available below that provides users with a guide on how to use the projections and provides answers to potential frequently asked questions.
Detailed population projection output files are provided in the supporting spreadsheets section below.
Final report
TasPOPP 2024 - Tasmanian and local government area population projections 2023 to 2053 - final report
Quick guide
TasPOPP quick guide
Supporting spreadsheets
In addition to the final paper, below are a suite of spreadsheets containing detailed projection data. The projections include a medium, high and low series, with the medium series considered the most likely outcome if current trends and expected future developments continue. Please refer to the consultation paper for a full explanation of the three series.
Main output file - contains historical population and projections and components of change for the State and each LGA, including by age group, and for each series (medium, high, low); and
State population pyramid - an interactive and animated chart that allows you to compare the distribution of the Tasmanian population in different age groups across time for each series.
Medium series supporting spreadsheets
Medium series projections - Main output file.xlsx
Medium series projections - State population pyramid.xlsm
High series supporting spreadsheets
High series projections - Main output file.xlsx
High series projections - State population pyramid.xlsm
Low series supporting spreadsheets
Low series projections - Main output file.xlsx
Low series projections - State population pyramid.xlsm
Summary profiles - a concise two-page workbook containing medium series projection tables and charts for Tasmania and each LGA.